Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen2 - 1Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-5 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, May 12 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 Stuttgart
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, May 10 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Augsburg
Leverkusen may have bigger fish to fry over the next 10 days, but the chance to conclude an entire domestic season unbeaten is one that Alonso's well-rested champions should not pass up on Saturday. Facing an Augsburg side in the midst of an injury crisis and without a single recognised right-back, Die Werkself should do what they do best and end a phenomenal Bundesliga season with no losses on their record. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 9.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-1 with a probability of 8.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 3-0 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.44%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Augsburg |
76.81% ( 0.62) | 13.29% ( -0.14) | 9.9% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
