Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Dortmund5 - 1Augsburg
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dortmund 1-0 PSG
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, May 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Augsburg 0-3 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, April 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Augsburg
Now that Dortmund are guaranteed a Champions League spot for next season, Augsburg will hope that the hosts will take their foot off the gas on the domestic front as they endeavour to boost their own European hopes heading down the home straight. However, even if Terzic does decide to rotate his side, we believe that the BVB boss will still field a strong enough team to claim all three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.75%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.41% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.82%) and 2-0 (6.03%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Augsburg |
55.75% ( -1.29) | 19.84% ( 0.07) | 24.41% ( 1.22) |
| Both teams to score 69.46% ( 1.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
