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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 56.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 21.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.
Result | ||
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
21.67% (![]() | 22.17% | 56.17% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.01% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.08% (![]() | 41.92% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.67% (![]() | 64.33% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.9% (![]() | 33.1% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.3% (![]() | 69.7% (![]() |
St Pauli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.22% (![]() | 14.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.97% (![]() | 43.03% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Union Berlin | Draw | St Pauli |
2-1 @ 5.72% 1-0 @ 5.41% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.99% 3-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.01% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.33% Total : 21.67% | 1-1 @ 10.34% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.17% | 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-1 @ 9.35% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 8.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.3% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.7% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.48% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.01% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.15% 0-5 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.91% Total : 56.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |