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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.84%23.54%45.62%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.87%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.62%
    Draw 23.53%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
46.5%
Draw
18.6%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
129
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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