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Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 11, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
BayArena
Dortmund logo

B. Leverkusen
3 - 4
Dortmund

Wirtz (9'), Schick (45+1'), Diaby (55')
Wirtz (60'), Frimpong (70'), Odilon (75'), Diaby (86')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Braut Haaland (37', 77' pen.), Brandt (49'), Guerreiro (71')
Meunier (20'), Braut Haaland (60'), Wolf (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 45.62%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
30.84%23.54%45.62%
Both teams to score 61.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.61%40.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.23%62.77%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66%25.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87%60.13%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99%18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.12%48.87%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 30.84%
    Borussia Dortmund 45.62%
    Draw 23.53%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 7.37%
1-0 @ 6.26%
2-0 @ 4.3%
3-1 @ 3.37%
3-2 @ 2.89%
3-0 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.16%
4-2 @ 0.99%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 30.84%
1-1 @ 10.73%
2-2 @ 6.32%
0-0 @ 4.56%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 9.21%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.71%
1-3 @ 5.26%
0-3 @ 3.83%
2-3 @ 3.61%
1-4 @ 2.26%
0-4 @ 1.64%
2-4 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 45.62%

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Dortmund

Bayer Leverkusen
46.5%
Draw
18.6%
Borussia Dortmund
34.9%
129
Head to Head
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Dortmund
3-1
B. Leverkusen
Braut Haaland (5', 84'), Reus (51')
Bender (89' pen.)
Jan 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Dortmund
Diaby (14'), Wirtz (80')
Bailey (73'), Diaby (78')
Brandt (67')
Hummels (90+1'), Delaney (90+3')
Feb 8, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
4-3
Dortmund
Volland (20', 43'), Bailey (81'), Bender (82')
Bender (35'), Volland (67')
Hummels (22'), Can (33'), Guerreiro (65')
Guerreiro (39')
Sep 14, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Dortmund
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Alcacer (28'), Reus (51', 90'), Guerreiro (83')

Wendell (35'), Havertz (52'), Amiri (85')
Feb 24, 2019 5pm
Gameweek 23
Dortmund
3-2
B. Leverkusen
Zagadou (30'), Sancho (38'), Gotze (60')
Guerreiro (74')
Volland (37'), Tah (75')
Jedvaj (59'), Tah (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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