MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 08:12:19| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Augsburg logo

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Augsburg

Simons (6'), Openda (11'), Raum (27')
FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 2-2 VfL Bochum
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 4-1 Augsburg

While RB Leipzig have scored 10 goals in three Bundesliga games this season, Augsburg have already conceded nine times, failing to taste victory along the way. With that in mind, we expect the Red Bulls to notch another high-scoring win on Saturday, extending Augsburg's winless run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
67.12% (0.989 0.99) 17.74% (-0.29 -0.29) 15.13% (-0.702 -0.7)
Both teams to score 60.22% (-0.679 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.13% (-0.076000000000008 -0.08)31.87% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.59% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)53.41% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.21% (0.199 0.2)8.78% (-0.2011 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.48399999999999 0.48)30.15% (-0.486 -0.49)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.02% (-0.893 -0.89)33.97% (0.891 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.35% (-0.975 -0.97)70.65% (0.97199999999999 0.97)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.12%
    Augsburg 15.13%
    Draw 17.74%
RB LeipzigDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.83% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 7.73% (0.059 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.26% (0.096 0.1)
3-0 @ 7.16% (0.225 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
4-0 @ 4.35% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.54% (-0.019 -0.02)
5-1 @ 2.29% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 2.12% (0.104 0.1)
5-2 @ 1.23% (0.0029999999999999 0)
6-1 @ 0.93% (0.032 0.03)
4-3 @ 0.91% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 67.12%
1-1 @ 7.84% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.136 -0.14)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.012 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.063 -0.06)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 17.74%
1-2 @ 4.23% (-0.152 -0.15)
0-1 @ 3.22% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 15.13%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Augsburg

RB Leipzig
90.9%
Draw
6.8%
Augsburg
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
RB Leipzig
3-2
Augsburg
Kampl (10'), Werner (32', 35')
Maier (5'), Vargas (82')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Augsburg
3-3
RB Leipzig
Berisha (34' pen.), Demirovic (51'), Vargas (64')
Silva (73'), Nkunku (89'), Novoa (90')
May 8, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
RB Leipzig
4-0
Augsburg
Silva (40'), Nkunku (48', 57'), Forsberg (64' pen.)
Forsberg (36')

Gouweleeuw (72'), Gunther (77')
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Augsburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Caligiuri (86' pen.)
Dorsch (44'), Sarenren Bazee (87')
Silva (19')
Feb 12, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 21
RB Leipzig
2-1
Augsburg
Olmo (38' pen.), Nkunku (43')
Klostermann (41'), Orban (62'), Adams (72')
Caligiuri (77' pen.)
Oxford (3'), Gouweleeuw (22'), Suchy (28'), Gikiewicz (34'), Benes (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern97203272523
2RB Leipzig96211551020
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt95222314917
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen94412015516
5Borussia DortmundDortmund95131715216
6Freiburg95131311216
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin943298115
8Stuttgart93421716113
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach94141514113
10Werder Bremen93331520-512
11Augsburg93241320-711
12Heidenheim93151212010
13Mainz 05Mainz92431213-110
14Wolfsburg92341617-19
15St Pauli9225711-48
16Hoffenheim92251319-68
17Holstein Kiel91261123-125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum9018929-201


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