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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.12%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 15.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.83%) and 3-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (4.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
67.12% ( 0.99) | 17.74% ( -0.29) | 15.13% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 60.22% ( -0.68) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.13% ( -0.08) | 31.87% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.59% ( -0.09) | 53.41% ( 0.09) |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.21% ( 0.2) | 8.78% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.85% ( 0.48) | 30.15% ( -0.49) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.02% ( -0.89) | 33.97% ( 0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.35% ( -0.97) | 70.65% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig | Draw | Augsburg |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.23) 4-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.1) 5-2 @ 1.23% ( 0) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.4% Total : 67.12% | 1-1 @ 7.84% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.27% Total : 17.74% | 1-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.57% Total : 15.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 7 | 25 | 23 |
2 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 20 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 16 |
6 | Freiburg | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 16 |
7 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 15 |
8 | Stuttgart | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 13 |
10 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
11 | Augsburg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 11 |
12 | Heidenheim | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 10 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 10 |
14 | Wolfsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 9 |
15 | St Pauli | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 8 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 8 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | 29 | -20 | 1 |
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