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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Augsburg logo

Bayern
3 - 1
Augsburg

Uduokhai (32' og.), Kane (40' pen., 69')
Gravenberch (83')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Beljo (86')
Rexhbecaj (56'), Cardona (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-4 Bayern
Friday, August 18 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 4-4 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, August 19 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-0 Augsburg

 Augsburg appeared wide open defensively during their draw against Gladbach, with the likes of Kane, Sane and Kingsley Coman likely to be licking their lips at the prospect of coming up against them this weekend. Although the loss of Musiala through injury could have a minor impact on the hosts' offensive fluidity, we still expect them to ease to a heavy victory in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.15%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 11.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.19%) and 3-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.1%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (3.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
74.15% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 14.56% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 11.29% (0.023 0.02)
Both teams to score 61.42% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.61% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)25.39% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.58% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)45.42% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.15% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)5.85% (0.0099 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.54% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)22.46% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24% (0.025999999999996 0.03)34.76% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51% (0.027999999999999 0.03)71.49% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 74.16%
    Augsburg 11.29%
    Draw 14.56%
Bayern MunichDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 8.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 7.75% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.81% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-0 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 5.5% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 3.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 3.07%
5-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-0 @ 1.48% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.08% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 4.59%
Total : 74.16%
1-1 @ 6.1% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 2.03% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 14.56%
1-2 @ 3.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 11.29%

How you voted: Bayern vs Augsburg

Bayern Munich
88.6%
Draw
5.7%
Augsburg
5.7%
35
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Bayern
5-3
Augsburg
Cancelo (15'), Pavard (18', 35'), Sane (45'), Davies (74')
Berisha (2', 60'), Cardona (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 19, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Augsburg
2-5
Bayern
Pedersen (9'), Upamecano (65' og.)
Maxim Choupo-Moting (27', 59'), Kimmich (53'), Musiala (74'), Davies (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 17, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
Augsburg
1-0
Bayern
Berisha (59')
> Preview
Apr 9, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 29
Bayern
1-0
Augsburg
Lewandowski (82' pen.)
Kouassi (68')

Oxford (36'), Weinzierl (80'), Dorsch (90+2')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 12
Augsburg
2-1
Bayern
Pedersen (23'), Hahn (36')
Hahn (45'), Framberger (79'), Weinzierl (90+1')
Lewandowski (38')
Hernandez (45+1')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz209473324931
7Werder Bremen208663436-230
8Wolfsburg198474234828
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610
> Bundesliga Full Table


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