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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
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Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
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Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Sep 1, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Heidenheim

Dortmund
2 - 2
Heidenheim

Brandt (7'), Can (15' pen.)
Bensebaini (61'), Haller (82'), Can (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Dinkci (61'), Kleindienst (82' pen.)
Dinkci (35'), Beste (57'), Pieringer (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 2-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-0 Heidenheim

Heidenheim could be facing Dortmund at a bad time here after the hosts dropped points in their last match, already putting them two points behind Bayern in their quest to win their first title since 2012. The visitors have not looked completely out of their depth despite competing at this level for the first time in the club's history, but that could change to an extent on Friday, with BVB likely to run out comfortable winners in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
58.34% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 20.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 21.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 63.21% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)33.59% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.6% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)55.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.58% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)11.42% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.81% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.19% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)28.65% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.54% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)64.46% (0.029999999999987 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 58.34%
    Heidenheim 21.34%
    Draw 20.32%
Borussia DortmundDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.1% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.57% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 4.35% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 3.02% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.36% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.64% (-0.002 -0)
5-0 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 8.87% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.27% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.81% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 20.32%
1-2 @ 5.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.09% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.56% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.51% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 21.34%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Heidenheim

Borussia Dortmund
89.0%
Draw
5.0%
Heidenheim
6.0%
100
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern14103142123033
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig148332315827
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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