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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.34%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 21.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 1-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (5.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Heidenheim |
58.34% ( -0.01) | 20.32% ( 0.01) | 21.34% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 63.21% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.41% ( -0.04) | 33.59% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.6% ( -0.04) | 55.4% ( 0.05) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.58% ( -0.01) | 11.42% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.81% ( -0.03) | 36.19% ( 0.03) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.35% ( -0.02) | 28.65% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.54% ( -0.02) | 64.46% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Heidenheim |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.1% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.96% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.35% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.02% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.31% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 2.91% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.32% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.26% Total : 21.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 42 | 12 | 30 | 33 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
5 | Freiburg | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 24 |
6 | Stuttgart | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 23 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 22 |
8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 22 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 14 |
15 | St Pauli | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 11 |
16 | Heidenheim | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 37 | -23 | 5 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 3 |
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