MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:01:38| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 1, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
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Freiburg
2 - 0
Augsburg

Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 0-0 Freiburg
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Mainz
Saturday, September 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-0 Augsburg

 Freiburg have been far from at their best in recent weeks, while Augsburg will arrive with renewed confidence after picking up their first win of the season in their last match. However, we expect the hosts to edge to a narrow victory in what is likely to be a tight encounter, with Streich and his players knowing that they can not afford their winless streak to continue much longer if they are to have another successful campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.79%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 24.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 0-1 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
51.79% (0.425 0.43) 23.53% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.68% (-0.438 -0.44)
Both teams to score 56.21% (-0.501 -0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.23% (-0.446 -0.45)44.77% (0.443 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.87% (-0.43 -0.43)67.13% (0.42800000000001 0.43)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)17.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.34% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)47.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.97% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)32.03% (0.597 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.5% (-0.686 -0.69)68.49% (0.684 0.68)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 51.79%
    Augsburg 24.68%
    Draw 23.53%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.183 0.18)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.53% (0.158 0.16)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.23% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 51.79%
1-1 @ 11.07% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.3% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 24.68%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
75.0%
Draw
17.5%
Augsburg
7.5%
40
Head to Head
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
1-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
Petersen (4'), Schlotterbeck (26')
Schlotterbeck (75')
> Preview
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Gameweek 6
Freiburg
3-0
Augsburg
Kubler (6'), Holer (25'), Grifo (33' pen.)

Gouweleeuw (73')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 26
Freiburg
2-0
Augsburg
Sallai (51'), Lienhart (79')
Lienhart (23'), Gulde (29'), Santamaria (45+1'), Til (46'), Hofler (74'), Gunter (76'), Demirovic (90+4')

Uduokhai (15'), Gouweleeuw (84')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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