Kompany will expect a strong reaction from his players given the team are winless in their last two, and considering their exceptional home record, it would be surprising if they dropped points again on Saturday.
Additionally, Heidenheim are in poor form and have struggled to find the back of the net in recent games, so the hosts should come into the clash as clear favourites.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
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