Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Voith-Arena

Heidenheim
3 - 2
SV Darmstadt 98

Schoppner (42'), Mainka (69', 71')
Kleindienst (55'), Dinkci (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Skarke (52'), Maloney (60' og.)
Muller (62'), Karic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Heidenheim and SV Darmstadt 98, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, December 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions

Last Game: SV Darmstadt 98 0-1 FC Koln
Friday, December 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

We said: Heidenheim 2-1 SV Darmstadt 98

A closely-fought contest between two teams desperate to returning to winning way and climb away from danger is set to take place on Saturday. Taking into account Heidenheim's home form and Darmstadt's struggles on the road, we believe that the hosts will do just enough to grind out hard-fought victory to remain outside of the bottom three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.

Result
Heidenheim	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
55.9% ( 0.24)	22.49% ( -0.08)	21.6% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 55.8% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.52% (

0.14)

43.48% (

-0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.12% (

0.14)

65.87% (

-0.14)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.6% (

0.13)

15.39% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.79% (

0.24)

44.2% (

-0.25)

SV Darmstadt 98 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.96% (

-0.08)

34.04% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.27% (

-0.09)

70.72% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Heidenheim 55.9%

SV Darmstadt 98 21.6%

Draw 22.48%

Heidenheim	Draw	SV Darmstadt 98
2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.9%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48%	1-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.6%