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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 55.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
55.9% (![]() | 22.49% (![]() | 21.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.8% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.52% (![]() | 43.48% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.12% (![]() | 65.87% (![]() |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.6% (![]() | 15.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.79% (![]() | 44.2% (![]() |
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.96% (![]() | 34.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.27% (![]() | 70.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Heidenheim | Draw | SV Darmstadt 98 |
2-1 @ 9.89% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.81% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 9.17% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.17% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.32% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1% ( ![]() Other @ 2.64% Total : 55.9% | 1-1 @ 10.56% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.33% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.48% | 1-2 @ 5.69% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.16% Total : 21.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |