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Bundesliga | Gameweek 11
Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-1 Galatasaray
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Heidenheim

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 2-0 Stuttgart
Sunday, November 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 4-1 Heidenheim

 Heidenheim have already frustrated Dortmund away from home this term, but they have since struggled in recent games on the road, losing each of their last four and conceding 11 goals in the process, and they head into Saturday's clash as major underdogs. Bayern, meanwhile, are enjoying an impressive run of form in the Bundesliga, largely thanks to the efforts of Kane in the final third, and we believe that the Bavarians will have few problems securing a comfortable win at the Allianz Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
81.66% (-0.10299999999999 -0.1) 11.29% (0.068999999999999 0.07) 7.04% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 56.33% (-0.14 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
77.01% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23)22.99% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.76% (-0.315 -0.31)42.24% (0.319 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.8% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)4.2% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
82.48% (-0.179 -0.18)17.51% (0.183 0.18)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.8% (-0.111 -0.11)41.2% (0.116 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.27% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)77.73% (0.102 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 81.66%
    Heidenheim 7.04%
    Draw 11.29%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
3-0 @ 9.19% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.069000000000001 0.07)
3-1 @ 8.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 7.71% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 7.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 6.46% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 5.49% (0.067 0.07)
5-0 @ 4.62% (-0.024 -0.02)
5-1 @ 4.09% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.44% (-0.023 -0.02)
6-1 @ 2.16% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-2 @ 1.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
7-0 @ 1.11% (-0.015 -0.02)
7-1 @ 0.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
6-2 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 81.66%
1-1 @ 4.86% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 1.73% (0.028 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 11.29%
1-2 @ 2.16% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 1.53% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 7.04%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
83.3%
Draw
8.3%
Heidenheim
8.3%
36
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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