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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 7.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 3-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.86%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (2.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
81.66% ( -0.1) | 11.29% ( 0.07) | 7.04% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 56.33% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.01% ( -0.23) | 22.99% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
57.76% ( -0.31) | 42.24% ( 0.32) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.8% ( -0.05) | 4.2% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.48% ( -0.18) | 17.51% ( 0.18) |
Heidenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.8% ( -0.11) | 41.2% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.27% ( -0.1) | 77.73% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Heidenheim |
3-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 8.15% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) 7-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) 7-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 6-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.06% Total : 81.66% | 1-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 11.29% | 1-2 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 7.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 25 |
7 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
9 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
10 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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