Heidenheim's home form has been strong since gaining promotion to the Bundesliga for the first ever time, with Schmidt's side winning three of their five games at Voith-Arena. Even in their two defeats, they still scored twice on both occasions.
Although Bochum have proven tough to beat, scoring goals remains a major issue for them, with only Koln finding the back of the net less than Letsch's side. As such, we are struggling to envisage them gaining a positive result here given Heidenheim's firepower.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 59.59%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 1-0 (8.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.
-0.29) 
0.18) 
