Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Jan 2, 2021 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 3
Freiburg

Bebou (58')
Akpoguma (16'), Vogt (82')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Santamaria (7'), Grifo (34' pen.), Adams (42' og.)
Chang-hoon (24'), Hofler (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 53.37%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 24.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (6.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
53.37%	21.76%	24.87%

Both teams to score 62.65%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.64%

36.36%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.51%

58.49%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23%

13.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93%

41.06%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.65%

27.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.19%

62.8%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 53.37%

Freiburg 24.87%

Draw 21.76%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 7.47% 2-0 @ 7.4% 3-1 @ 6.34% 3-0 @ 4.89% 3-2 @ 4.11% 4-1 @ 3.15% 4-0 @ 2.43% 4-2 @ 2.04% 5-1 @ 1.25% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.37%	1-1 @ 9.68% 2-2 @ 6.22% 0-0 @ 3.77% 3-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 6.28% 0-1 @ 4.88% 0-2 @ 3.16% 1-3 @ 2.71% 2-3 @ 2.69% 0-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.78% Total : 24.87%