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Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 15, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leipzig logo

FC Koln
1 - 5
RB Leipzig

Adamyan (18')
Finkgrafe (49'), Alidou (66')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simons (15'), Openda (63', 67'), Haidara (70'), Poulsen (82')
Simons (62'), Haidara (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 3-3 FC Koln
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig bounced back well from their Champions League disappointment last week and have an excellent opportunity to move into the top four in the league, with Dortmund taking on Frankfurt later in the weekend. Koln have lost three of their last four home games, and we feel they will struggle to avoid another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 47.63%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
29.38% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03) 22.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 47.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)38.58% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.12% (0.0039999999999978 0)60.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)25.36% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.84% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)60.16% (0.026000000000003 0.03)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (0.015000000000001 0.02)16.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (0.028000000000006 0.03)46.28% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 29.38%
    RB Leipzig 47.63%
    Draw 22.99%
FC KolnDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 7.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.94% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 29.38%
1-1 @ 10.35%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 9.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-1 @ 7.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.79% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.83% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 47.63%

How you voted: FC Koln vs RB Leipzig

FC Koln
10.4%
Draw
6.0%
RB Leipzig
83.6%
134
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
RB Leipzig
6-0
FC Koln
Werner (15' pen.), Openda (40', 45+3'), Raum (43'), Sesko (88'), Baumgartner (90+1')
Simakan (19'), Rose (36'), Klostermann (79')

Chabot (29'), Olesen (72'), Baumgart (82'), Kilian (85')
Olesen (80')
Feb 4, 2023 2.30pm
Aug 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
RB Leipzig
2-2
FC Koln
Werner (36'), Nkunku (56')
Henrichs (89')
Szoboszlai (45+1')
Dietz (40'), Gvardiol (72' og.)
Thielmann (18'), Hubers (48'), Adamyan (76'), Kainz (79')
Feb 11, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 22
RB Leipzig
3-1
FC Koln
Nkunku (25'), Olmo (54'), Angelino (57')
Gvardiol (62')
Lemperle (90+1')
Thielmann (9'), Hubers (35')
Sep 18, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
FC Koln
1-1
RB Leipzig
Modeste (53')
Czichos (17'), Mere (76'), Schmitz (79')
Haidara (71')
Klostermann (76')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern119203672929
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1172227161123
3RB Leipzig11632189921
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen115512618820
5Borussia DortmundDortmund116142218419
6Freiburg115241315-217
7Stuttgart114432119216
8Union BerlinUnion Berlin1144399016
9Wolfsburg114342018215
10Werder Bremen114341722-515
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
12Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
13Hoffenheim113351722-512
14Augsburg113351323-1012
15Heidenheim113171520-510
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum110291032-222


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