Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 53.49%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 24.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.