Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 19

Feb 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

RheinEnergieStadion

FC Koln
0 - 0
RB Leipzig

Martel (41'), Schmitz (41'), Adamyan (89')

Szoboszlai (31'), Laimer (37'), Gvardiol (45+2'), Henrichs (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions

Last Game: Schalke 0-0 FC Koln
Sunday, January 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, February 1 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Koln 1-3 RB Leipzig

Despite Koln's strong return to action, Leipzig are beating almost everything put in front of them under Rose and will give Baumgart's side the ultimate test here. Koln's 0-0 draw with Schalke was their first clean sheet in 14 games, and 10 of the 11 meetings between the sides have seen both teams score, so goals are to be expected in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.

Result
FC Koln	Draw	RB Leipzig
22.28%	21.12% ( -0)	56.6% ( 0)

Both teams to score 61.65% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.77% (

0.03)

36.23% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.65% (

0.03)

58.35% (

-0.03)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.02)

29.35% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.68% (

0.02)

65.32% (

-0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.25% (

0.01)

12.75% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.99% (

0.02)

39.01% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

FC Koln 22.28%

RB Leipzig 56.6%

Draw 21.12%

FC Koln	Draw	RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.79% 1-0 @ 4.59% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 3.14% Total : 22.28%	1-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.12%	1-2 @ 9.73% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.68% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.1% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.81% ( 0) 2-4 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 56.6%