Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Union Berlin

Union Berlin have rediscovered their defensive solidity since appointing Bjelica, but their away form remains rotten this season. Leipzig, meanwhile, have struggled since returning from the winter break, but are surely too good for their disastrous form to continue much longer. As such, we expect Rose's side to return to winning ways on Sunday, but they are likely to be made to work extremely hard for their victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
69.36% ( -0.1)	17.84% ( 0.13)	12.8% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 52.95% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.99% (

-0.65)

38.01% (

0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.73% (

-0.69)

60.27% (

0.69)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.1% (

-0.2)

9.9% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.21% (

-0.46)

32.78% (

0.46)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.77% (

-0.46)

41.23% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.24% (

-0.41)

77.76% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 69.36%

Union Berlin 12.8%

Draw 17.84%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Union Berlin
2-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.21) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 2.25% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.06) Other @ 4.83% Total : 69.36%	1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.84%	1-2 @ 3.7% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.8%