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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin logo

RB Leipzig
2 - 0
Union Berlin

Openda (11'), Sesko (48')
Kampl (20')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Hollerbach (22'), Tousart (47')
Trimmel (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 5-2 RB Leipzig
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Union Berlin

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-0 Darmstadt
Sunday, January 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Union Berlin

 Union Berlin have rediscovered their defensive solidity since appointing Bjelica, but their away form remains rotten this season. Leipzig, meanwhile, have struggled since returning from the winter break, but are surely too good for their disastrous form to continue much longer. As such, we expect Rose's side to return to winning ways on Sunday, but they are likely to be made to work extremely hard for their victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 69.36%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 12.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for RB Leipzig in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for RB Leipzig.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
69.36% (-0.104 -0.1) 17.84% (0.125 0.13) 12.8% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.95% (-0.528 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.99% (-0.649 -0.65)38.01% (0.647 0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.73% (-0.693 -0.69)60.27% (0.693 0.69)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.1% (-0.2 -0.2)9.9% (0.199 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.21% (-0.459 -0.46)32.78% (0.458 0.46)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.77% (-0.456 -0.46)41.23% (0.456 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.24% (-0.407 -0.41)77.76% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 69.36%
    Union Berlin 12.8%
    Draw 17.84%
RB LeipzigDrawUnion Berlin
2-0 @ 10.91% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.21 0.21)
3-0 @ 8.42% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 7.46% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.87% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.31% (-0.069 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 2.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
5-1 @ 2% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 69.36%
1-1 @ 8.36% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.28% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.08% (0.126 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.98% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.84%
1-2 @ 3.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.62% (0.068 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.6% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 12.8%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin

RB Leipzig
79.0%
Draw
12.9%
Union Berlin
8.1%
62
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
0-3
RB Leipzig

Kral (27'), Gosens (80'), Haberer (81')
Volland (64')
Simons (51'), Sesko (85', 87')
Henrichs (26')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Henrichs (24')
Haberer (61'), Knoche (72' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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