Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.