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Bundesliga | Gameweek 22
Feb 16, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Werder Bremen logo

FC Koln
0 - 1
Werder Bremen


Kainz (26'), Thielmann (77'), Huseinbasic (90+2'), Hubers (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Njinmah (70')
Schmid (26'), Weiser (77'), Bittencourt (88'), Malatini (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-1 FC Koln
Sunday, February 11 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Werder Bremen

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, February 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 2-2 Werder Bremen

 Goals at both ends are to be expected on Friday as the net has ripped four times on average in the last six meetings between these two teams. Bremen got the better of Koln five months ago and their recent away form bodes well heading to North Rhine-Westphalia, but we believe that the resurgent hosts will do enough to claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 49.09%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
49.09% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02) 24.14% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 26.77% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.24% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.33% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)45.67% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.01% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)67.99% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.32% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)18.68% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.98% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)50.02% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)30.85% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)67.13% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 49.09%
    Werder Bremen 26.77%
    Draw 24.14%
FC KolnDrawWerder Bremen
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.09%
1-1 @ 11.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.69% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 3.99% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.62%
2-3 @ 2.2% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.77%

How you voted: FC Koln vs Werder Bremen

FC Koln
30.1%
Draw
43.7%
Werder Bremen
26.2%
103
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Werder Bremen
2-1
FC Koln
Borre (38'), Njinmah (67')
Weiser (79'), Veljkovic (88')
Selke (31')
Alidou (73')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Schmid (73')
Weiser (27'), Bittencourt (33'), Stage (79'), Buchanan (82')
Tigges (36')
Ljubicic (12'), Hector (89')
> Preview
Jan 21, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
FC Koln
7-1
Werder Bremen
Maina (9'), Tigges (15', 21'), Skhiri (30', 54'), Huseinbasic (36'), Friedl (76' og.)
Fullkrug (38')
> Preview
Mar 7, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
FC Koln
1-1
Werder Bremen
Hector (83')
Jakobs (21'), Drexler (80')
Sargent (66')
> Preview
Nov 6, 2020 7.30pm
Gameweek 7
Werder Bremen
1-1
FC Koln
Bittencourt (82' pen.)
Mbom (31'), Osako (67')
Moisander (67' og.)
Wolf (23'), Czichos (65')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226
> Bundesliga Full Table


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