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Bundesliga | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
RheinEnergieStadion
Leverkusen logo

FC Koln
0 - 2
B. Leverkusen


Ljubicic (16'), Martel (30')
Thielmann (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Frimpong (37'), Grimaldo (73')
Frimpong (23'), Stanisic (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between FC Koln and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Koln

All competitions
Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 FC Koln
Saturday, February 24 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Mainz
Friday, February 23 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: FC Koln 0-3 Bayer Leverkusen

 Nothing can stop Leverkusen at the moment, as even when they are off-colour they are still picking up results, as they did against Mainz last time out, and another win is on the cards. Koln have not beaten a side at the top of the Bundesliga in their last 23 attempts, and they have shown little signs of changing that heading into this one, despite a respectable draw last weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 59.28%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for FC Koln had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a FC Koln win it was 1-0 (5.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
18.88% (-1.117 -1.12) 21.84% (-0.096999999999998 -0.1) 59.28% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 53.58% (-1.611 -1.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-1.202 -1.2)44.31% (1.203 1.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.31% (-1.178 -1.18)66.68% (1.179 1.18)
FC Koln Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.72% (-1.876 -1.88)37.27% (1.876 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.94% (-1.9 -1.9)74.06% (1.902 1.9)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.42% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)14.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (-0.026999999999994 -0.03)42.65% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    FC Koln 18.88%
    Bayer Leverkusen 59.27%
    Draw 21.83%
FC KolnDrawBayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 5.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 5.1% (-0.261 -0.26)
2-0 @ 2.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 1.68% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-2 @ 1.61% (-0.172 -0.17)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 18.88%
1-1 @ 10.32% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.279 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-3 @ 1.04% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.83%
0-1 @ 10.46% (0.528 0.53)
0-2 @ 10.07% (0.503 0.5)
1-2 @ 9.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.47% (0.322 0.32)
1-3 @ 6.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.165 -0.17)
0-4 @ 3.11% (0.154 0.15)
1-4 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.52% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.2% (0.059 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.18% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 59.27%

How you voted: FC Koln vs B. Leverkusen

FC Koln
5.7%
Draw
9.1%
Bayer Leverkusen
85.2%
88
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 7
B. Leverkusen
3-0
FC Koln
Hofmann (22'), Frimpong (32'), Okoh Boniface (67')
Frimpong (23'), Tapsoba (45+3'), Tah (61'), Alonso (66')

Baumgart (24')
> Preview
May 5, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 31
B. Leverkusen
1-2
FC Koln
Adli (28')
Selke (14', 36')
> Preview
Nov 9, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 14
FC Koln
1-2
B. Leverkusen
Schmitz (30')
Amiri (65'), Diaby (71')
> Preview
Mar 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
B. Leverkusen
0-1
FC Koln

Palacios (45+1'), Demirbay (90+2')
Schindler (67')
Skhiri (52'), Schmitz (65')
> Preview
Oct 24, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
FC Koln
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Modeste (63', 82')
Uth (36')
Schick (15'), Bellarabi (17')
Demirbay (43'), Diaby (65'), Andrich (89')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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