MX23RW : Monday, December 23 00:29:25| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Mainz logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
0 - 5
RB Leipzig


Kunde (20'), Bruma (31'), St Juste (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Werner (11', 48', 75'), Poulsen (23'), Sabitzer (36')
Sabitzer (13'), Upamecano (17'), Werner (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
20.73%20.26%59%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 20.73%
    RB Leipzig 59.01%
    Draw 20.26%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.11%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.01%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
RB Leipzig
De Blasis (29' pen.), Maxim (85'), Baku (90')
Bell (38'), Maxim (89')

Poulsen (30'), Orban (40'), Keita (89')
Keita (90')
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Mainz
Kampl (29'), Werner (45' pen.)
Laimer (23'), Ilsanker (38')
Quaison (39'), Berggreen (86')
Diallo (44'), Berggreen (68'), Serdar (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!