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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
May 24, 2020 at 2.30pm UK
Opel Arena
Leipzig logo

Mainz 05
0 - 5
RB Leipzig


Kunde (20'), Bruma (31'), St Juste (79')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Werner (11', 48', 75'), Poulsen (23'), Sabitzer (36')
Sabitzer (13'), Upamecano (17'), Werner (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and RB Leipzig, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 59%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 20.73% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.93%) and 0-1 (7.31%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 2-1 (5.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
20.73%20.26%59%
Both teams to score 62.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.86%34.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.97%56.02%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.5%29.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.48%65.51%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.59%11.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.82%36.18%
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 20.73%
    RB Leipzig 59.01%
    Draw 20.26%
Mainz 05DrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 5.45%
1-0 @ 4.11%
2-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.41%
3-1 @ 2.22%
3-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 8.92%
2-2 @ 5.91%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.26%
1-2 @ 9.68%
0-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 7.31%
1-3 @ 7.01%
0-3 @ 5.74%
2-3 @ 4.28%
1-4 @ 3.8%
0-4 @ 3.11%
2-4 @ 2.32%
1-5 @ 1.65%
0-5 @ 1.35%
2-5 @ 1.01%
3-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 59.01%

Head to Head
Nov 2, 2019 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
RB Leipzig
8-0
Mainz
Sabitzer (5'), Werner (30', 48', 87'), Nkunku (35'), Halstenberg (39'), Poulsen (44'), Mukiele (50')
May 3, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 32
Mainz
3-3
RB Leipzig
Onisiwo (43'), Niakhate (67'), Mateta (83')
Brosinski (55')
Klostermann (20', 32'), Werner (49')
Kampl (52')
Dec 16, 2018 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
RB Leipzig
4-1
Mainz
Poulsen (14', 19'), Werner (74', 88')
Upamecano (27'), Sabitzer (42'), Orban (51')
Onisiwo (38')
Latza (53'), Niakhate (54'), Zentner (66')
Apr 29, 2018 2.30pm
Mainz
3-0
RB Leipzig
De Blasis (29' pen.), Maxim (85'), Baku (90')
Bell (38'), Maxim (89')

Poulsen (30'), Orban (40'), Keita (89')
Keita (90')
Dec 9, 2017 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
2-2
Mainz
Kampl (29'), Werner (45' pen.)
Laimer (23'), Ilsanker (38')
Quaison (39'), Berggreen (86')
Diallo (44'), Berggreen (68'), Serdar (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern18143156154145
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen18125144242041
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt18113442241836
4Stuttgart1895436261032
5RB Leipzig189453227531
6Mainz 05Mainz188463123828
7Wolfsburg188374032827
8Freiburg188372534-927
9Werder Bremen187563134-326
10Borussia DortmundDortmund187473231125
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach187382729-224
12Augsburg186482133-1222
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin185581624-820
14St Pauli1852111421-717
15Hoffenheim184592335-1217
16Heidenheim1842122338-1514
17Holstein Kiel1832132646-2011
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1824121740-2310


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