Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 29

Apr 10, 2022 at 6.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
3 - 0
Hoffenheim

Nkunku (5'), Halstenberg (20'), Szoboszlai (44')
Mukiele (76')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Kaderabek (71'), Richards (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 RB Leipzig (2-4 pen.)
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Next Game: Teutonia Hamburg vs. RB Leipzig
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45

We said: RB Leipzig 3-1 Hoffenheim

With Leipzig and Hoffenheim heading in opposite directions of late, a comfortable victory for the hosts is expected at the Red Bull Arena on Sunday. The home side have been unstoppable for much of this calendar year so far, and with them boasting home advantage, and Hoffenheim missing several players, they should have no problem seeing off their opponents to strengthen their hold on a top-four spot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 1-0 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.75%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (4.48%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
64.9%	19.08%	16.02%

Both teams to score 57.28%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.39%

36.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.24%

58.76%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39%

10.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.58%

34.41%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.08%

35.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.31%

72.69%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 64.9%

Hoffenheim 16.02%

Draw 19.08%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.82% 2-0 @ 9.59% 1-0 @ 8.55% 3-1 @ 7.34% 3-0 @ 7.17% 4-1 @ 4.12% 4-0 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 3.76% 4-2 @ 2.11% 5-1 @ 1.85% 5-0 @ 1.81% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.82% Total : 64.9%	1-1 @ 8.75% 2-2 @ 5.03% 0-0 @ 3.81% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.08%	1-2 @ 4.48% 0-1 @ 3.9% 0-2 @ 2% 2-3 @ 1.72% 1-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.39% Total : 16.02%