Home > Football > Bundesliga
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
37.01% | 22% | 41% |
Both teams to score 69.28% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.28% | 30.73% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.94% | 52.06% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.42% | 17.58% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.85% | 48.15% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.07% | 15.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.8% | 45.21% |
Score Analysis |
Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.78% 1-0 @ 4.87% 3-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 2.45% 4-1 @ 1.96% 4-2 @ 1.8% 4-3 @ 1.1% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.11% Total : 37.01% | 1-1 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 7.14% 0-0 @ 2.8% 3-3 @ 2.53% Other @ 0.58% Total : 22% | 1-2 @ 8.22% 0-1 @ 5.15% 1-3 @ 5.03% 0-2 @ 4.73% 2-3 @ 4.37% 0-3 @ 2.89% 1-4 @ 2.31% 2-4 @ 2.01% 0-4 @ 1.33% 3-4 @ 1.16% Other @ 3.81% Total : 41% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 13 |
2 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 12 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 11 |
4 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 10 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 10 |
6 | Heidenheim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Freiburg | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Stuttgart | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 8 |
9 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Mainz 05Mainz | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 5 |
13 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 4 |
14 | St Pauli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 4 |
15 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 4 |
16 | Hoffenheim | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 1 |
18 | Holstein Kiel | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 1 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |