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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Rhein-Neckar-Arena
Leverkusen logo

Hoffenheim
2 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

It is difficult not to go with the form book here, with the hosts on a dreadful run at the end of the campaign and continuing to leak goals consistently. Leverkusen are a dangerous away side to face, with the likes of Moussa Diaby and Schick providing deadly attacks on the break, and the duo should manage to get amongst the goals in an away victory here to confirm their top-four finish.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 37.33% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 10.01% and the second most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 8.42%.

Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
37.33%23%39.67%
Both teams to score 65.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.16%35.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.08%57.92%
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.3%19.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.31%51.69%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37%18.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.06%49.94%
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 37.33%
    Bayer Leverkusen 39.67%
    Draw 22.99%
HoffenheimDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.14%
1-0 @ 5.96%
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 4.41%
3-2 @ 3.7%
3-0 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-2 @ 1.51%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 37.33%
1-1 @ 10.01%
2-2 @ 6.84%
0-0 @ 3.67%
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.99%
1-2 @ 8.42%
0-1 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 5.18%
1-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 3.83%
0-3 @ 2.9%
1-4 @ 1.98%
2-4 @ 1.61%
0-4 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 39.67%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs B. Leverkusen

Hoffenheim
9.5%
Draw
16.7%
Bayer Leverkusen
73.8%
42
Head to Head
Dec 15, 2021 7.30pm
B. Leverkusen
2-2
Hoffenheim
Schick (37', 63')
Diaby (21'), Odilon (60'), Tapsoba (85'), Hincapie (86')
Diaby (90+2')
Stiller (80'), Dabour (83')
Rudy (21'), Raum (28'), Dabour (88')
Dec 13, 2020 5pm
B. Leverkusen
4-1
Hoffenheim
Bailey (4', 27'), Wirtz (55'), Alario (90+1' pen.)
Diaby (31'), Sinkgraven (35'), Amiri (74')
Baumgartner (50')
Grillitsch (38'), Posch (58'), Vogt (74'), Nordtveit (90+1')
Grillitsch (64'), Posch (79')
Feb 1, 2020 2.30pm
Hoffenheim
2-1
B. Leverkusen
Kramaric (23'), Skov (65')
Baumgartner (15'), Rudy (49'), Pentke (86')
Diaby (11')
Demirbay (27'), Bender (44')
Demirbay (90')
Aug 31, 2019 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Werder Bremen157442625125
7Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
8Freiburg157352124-324
9Stuttgart156542925423
10Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
11Wolfsburg146353125621
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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