Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 33

May 7, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Rhein-Neckar-Arena

Hoffenheim
2 - 4
B. Leverkusen

Rutter (22'), Baumgartner (36')
Dabour (66')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Schick (34', 76'), Diaby (73'), Alario (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

Last Six:

Last Game: Borussia M'bach 5-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Rodinghausen vs. Hoffenheim
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
8	Mainz 05	34	5	46
9	Hoffenheim	34	-2	46
10	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	-7	45

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Elversberg vs. B. Leverkusen
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	33	69
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen

It is difficult not to go with the form book here, with the hosts on a dreadful run at the end of the campaign and continuing to leak goals consistently. Leverkusen are a dangerous away side to face, with the likes of Moussa Diaby and Schick providing deadly attacks on the break, and the duo should manage to get amongst the goals in an away victory here to confirm their top-four finish.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim has a probability of 37.33% and a draw has a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-1 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 10.01% and the second most likely scoreline is Hoffenheim 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen with a probability of 8.42%.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 39.67%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 37.33% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.17%) and 0-2 (5.18%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
37.33%	23%	39.67%

Both teams to score 65.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.16%

35.84%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.08%

57.92%

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.3%

19.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.31%

51.69%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.37%

18.63%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.06%

49.94%

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 37.33%

Bayer Leverkusen 39.67%

Draw 22.99%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.14% 1-0 @ 5.96% 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 3.7% 3-0 @ 2.62% 4-1 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.51% 4-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.29% Total : 37.33%	1-1 @ 10.01% 2-2 @ 6.84% 0-0 @ 3.67% 3-3 @ 2.08% Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.99%	1-2 @ 8.42% 0-1 @ 6.17% 0-2 @ 5.18% 1-3 @ 4.71% 2-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 2.9% 1-4 @ 1.98% 2-4 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.65% Total : 39.67%