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Bundesliga | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Red Bull Arena
Freiburg logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demirovic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This could well be a tight affair on Saturday, with Freiburg sure to remain well organised in their quest to frustrate their hosts for long periods of the game. There is likely to be little between the two sides, but we are predicting for Leipzig to narrowly edge out the visitors thanks to home advantage, as well as the form of Nkunku in particular. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
67.32%19.05%13.63%
Both teams to score 51.06%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.29%41.71%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.89%64.11%
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.56%11.44%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.76%36.24%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.65%42.34%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.27%78.73%
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 67.31%
    Freiburg 13.63%
    Draw 19.05%
RB LeipzigDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 11.38%
1-0 @ 10.5%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 8.23%
3-1 @ 7.07%
4-0 @ 4.46%
4-1 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.04%
5-0 @ 1.93%
5-1 @ 1.66%
4-2 @ 1.65%
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 67.31%
1-1 @ 9.03%
0-0 @ 4.84%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.05%
0-1 @ 4.16%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 1.79%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.63%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Freiburg

RB Leipzig
82.1%
Draw
16.4%
Freiburg
1.5%
67
Head to Head
Oct 16, 2021 2.30pm
Freiburg
1-1
RB Leipzig
Woo-yeong (64')
Forsberg (32' pen.)
Marsch (36'), Haidara (44'), Gvardiol (57'), Simakan (85'), Mukiele (89')
Mar 6, 2021 2.30pm
Nov 7, 2020 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
3-0
Freiburg
Konate (26'), Sabitzer (70' pen.), Angelino (89')
Orban (28'), Henrichs (62')

Lienhart (25'), Gulde (44'), Tempelmann (90+1')
May 16, 2020 2.30pm
Oct 26, 2019 2.30pm
Freiburg
2-1
RB Leipzig
Hofler (45'), Petersen (90')
Hofler (62'), Haberer (66'), Grifo (92')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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