Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 5, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Red Bull Arena

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Freiburg

Angelino (90')
Henrichs (68')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Demirovic (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

Last Six:

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 1-1 RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
3	Bayer Leverkusen	34	33	64
4	RB Leipzig	34	35	58
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57

Freiburg

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-1 Freiburg
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Next Game: Freiburg vs. RB Leipzig
Saturday, May 21 at 7pm in DFB-Pokal

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
5	Union Berlin	34	6	57
6	Freiburg	34	12	55
7	FC Koln	34	3	52

We said: RB Leipzig 2-1 Freiburg

This could well be a tight affair on Saturday, with Freiburg sure to remain well organised in their quest to frustrate their hosts for long periods of the game. There is likely to be little between the two sides, but we are predicting for Leipzig to narrowly edge out the visitors thanks to home advantage, as well as the form of Nkunku in particular. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 67.32%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 13.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
67.32%	19.05%	13.63%

Both teams to score 51.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.29%

41.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.89%

64.11%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.56%

11.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.76%

36.24%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.65%

42.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.27%

78.73%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 67.31%

Freiburg 13.63%

Draw 19.05%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 11.38% 1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.78% 3-0 @ 8.23% 3-1 @ 7.07% 4-0 @ 4.46% 4-1 @ 3.83% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.93% 5-1 @ 1.66% 4-2 @ 1.65% Other @ 3.77% Total : 67.31%	1-1 @ 9.03% 0-0 @ 4.84% 2-2 @ 4.2% Other @ 0.98% Total : 19.05%	0-1 @ 4.16% 1-2 @ 3.88% 0-2 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.2% 1-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.49% Total : 13.63%