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Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 |
2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 35 | 58 |
5 | Union Berlin | 34 | 6 | 57 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 44%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.41%) and 0-1 (5.38%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
34.1% | 21.89% | 44% |
Both teams to score 68.95% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.12% | 30.87% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
47.76% | 52.24% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.01% | 18.99% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.46% | 50.54% |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.12% | 14.88% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.77% | 43.23% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.43% 1-0 @ 4.69% 3-1 @ 4.11% 3-2 @ 3.92% 2-0 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 2.16% 4-1 @ 1.71% 4-2 @ 1.63% 4-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.52% Total : 34.1% | 1-1 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 7.08% 0-0 @ 2.83% 3-3 @ 2.49% Other @ 0.56% Total : 21.89% | 1-2 @ 8.52% 1-3 @ 5.41% 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 5.13% 2-3 @ 4.49% 0-3 @ 3.26% 1-4 @ 2.58% 2-4 @ 2.14% 0-4 @ 1.55% 3-4 @ 1.19% 1-5 @ 0.98% Other @ 3.37% Total : 44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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