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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 58.44%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 20.84% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.27%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 1-2 (5.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hoffenheim in this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
58.44% | 20.72% | 20.84% |
Both teams to score 60.91% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.77% | 36.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.64% | 58.36% |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.78% | 12.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.09% | 37.91% |
Stuttgart Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.38% | 30.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.15% | 66.85% |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
2-1 @ 9.79% 2-0 @ 8.27% 1-0 @ 7.87% 3-1 @ 6.86% 3-0 @ 5.79% 3-2 @ 4.06% 4-1 @ 3.6% 4-0 @ 3.04% 4-2 @ 2.13% 5-1 @ 1.51% 5-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 4.24% Total : 58.44% | 1-1 @ 9.31% 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 3.74% 3-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 5.51% 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.62% 2-3 @ 2.29% 1-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.79% Total : 20.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 47 | 13 | 34 | 36 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 37 | 21 | 16 | 32 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 27 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 20 | 8 | 25 |
6 | Werder Bremen | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Freiburg | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 24 |
9 | Stuttgart | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 22 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 21 |
12 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
13 | Augsburg | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 16 |
14 | St Pauli | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 14 |
16 | Heidenheim | 15 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 8 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 35 | -22 | 6 |
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