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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Schalke
1 - 6
Union Berlin

Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Union Berlin

With the visitors preferring to play in transition, we can envisage them gaining another victory on Saturday to potentially move top of the table. Schalke have remained competitive in the early weeks of the campaign but could find themselves caught between two stools in front of a demanding home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
35.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 39.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.048999999999999 0.05)59.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 35.35%
    Union Berlin 39.73%
    Draw 24.92%
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Schalke vs Union Berlin

Schalke 04
15.2%
Draw
19.6%
Union Berlin
65.2%
46
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Trimmel (2'), Hubner (75'), Musa (82')

William (34'), Harit (85')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Jun 7, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.30pm
Schalke
2-1
Union Berlin
Raman (23'), Serdar (86')
McKennie (90')
Ingvartsen (36' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (22'), Andersson (38'), Hubner (42'), Friedrich (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1595137211632
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1583435231227
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Mainz 05Mainz157442820825
6Borussia DortmundDortmund157442822625
7Werder Bremen157442625125
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach157352520524
9Freiburg157352124-324
10Stuttgart156542925423
11Wolfsburg156363228421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin154561419-517
13Augsburg154471732-1516
14St Pauli154291219-714
15Hoffenheim153572028-814
16Heidenheim1531111833-1510
17Holstein Kiel1522111938-198
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1513111335-226


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