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Schalke
Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK
Veltins-Arena
Union Berlin logo

Schalke
1 - 6
Union Berlin

Bulter (31' pen.)
Thiaw (45+2')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Thorsby (6'), Becker (36', 46'), Haberer (45+3'), Michel (87', 90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Schalke 04 and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-0 Schalke
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Schalke 04 1-2 Union Berlin

With the visitors preferring to play in transition, we can envisage them gaining another victory on Saturday to potentially move top of the table. Schalke have remained competitive in the early weeks of the campaign but could find themselves caught between two stools in front of a demanding home crowd. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Schalke 04 win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
35.35% (0.031999999999996 0.03) 24.92% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 39.73% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 57.87% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)45.44% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.22% (0.031999999999996 0.03)67.78% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Schalke 04 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.034999999999997 0.03)25.08% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.048999999999999 0.05)59.77% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)22.75% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)56.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Schalke 04 35.35%
    Union Berlin 39.73%
    Draw 24.92%
Schalke 04DrawUnion Berlin
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.52% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.35%
1-1 @ 11.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.98% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.71% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.36% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.92%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.27% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.09% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Schalke vs Union Berlin

Schalke 04
15.2%
Draw
19.6%
Union Berlin
65.2%
46
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2021 5.30pm
Union Berlin
0-0
Schalke

Trimmel (2'), Hubner (75'), Musa (82')

William (34'), Harit (85')
Oct 18, 2020 5pm
Jun 7, 2020 2.30pm
Nov 29, 2019 7.30pm
Schalke
2-1
Union Berlin
Raman (23'), Serdar (86')
McKennie (90')
Ingvartsen (36' pen.)
Schlotterbeck (22'), Andersson (38'), Hubner (42'), Friedrich (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern19153158164248
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen19126146262042
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt19114444261837
4Stuttgart199553628832
5RB Leipzig199553429532
6Mainz 05Mainz1994633231031
7Wolfsburg198474234828
8Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach198383029127
9Werder Bremen197663336-327
10Freiburg198382636-1027
11Borussia DortmundDortmund197573433126
12Augsburg197482334-1125
13St Pauli1962111721-420
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin195591627-1120
15Hoffenheim194692537-1218
16Heidenheim1942132440-1614
17Holstein Kiel1933132848-2012
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1924131743-2610


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