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Bundesliga
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Aug 20, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
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Union Berlin
2 - 1
RB Leipzig

Siebatcheu (32'), Becker (38')
Ronnow (49'), Behrens (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Orban (83')
Kampl (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:
Last Game: Mainz 05 0-0 Union Berlin
Sunday, August 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

RB Leipzig

Last Six:
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-2 FC Koln
Saturday, August 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 1-1 RB Leipzig

 It is hard to split these two teams, with Leipzig obviously possessing superior individual quality, but Union Berlin's counter-attacking style is likely to hurt them. As such, it would be no surprise to see Leipzig draw a third successive match, with both teams probably content enough with that potential outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 52.35%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.99%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-0 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
22.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05) 25.14% (0.2 0.2) 52.35% (-0.154 -0.15)
Both teams to score 48.74% (-0.642 -0.64)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.56% (-0.818 -0.82)53.44% (0.813 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.03% (-0.695 -0.7)74.97% (0.691 0.69)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24% (-0.508 -0.51)38.76% (0.504 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5% (-0.484 -0.48)75.49% (0.48 0.48)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.59% (-0.38800000000001 -0.39)20.41% (0.385 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.15% (-0.618 -0.62)52.85% (0.614 0.61)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 22.51%
    RB Leipzig 52.35%
    Draw 25.13%
Union BerlinDrawRB Leipzig
1-0 @ 7.5% (0.136 0.14)
2-1 @ 5.65% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.12% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 22.51%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 7.91% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 25.13%
0-1 @ 12.57% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 9.99% (0.083 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.47% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 5.29% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.02% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.38% (-0.074 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.1% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.99% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 52.35%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs RB Leipzig

Union Berlin
15.4%
Draw
16.9%
RB Leipzig
67.7%
65
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2022 2.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-2
Union Berlin
Poulsen (46')
Olmo (87'), Adams (90+6')
Michel (86'), Behrens (89')
Behrens (90+1'), Ronnow (90+4')
Apr 20, 2022 7.45pm
RB Leipzig
2-1
Union Berlin
Silva (61' pen.), Forsberg (90+3')
Laimer (35'), Simakan (90+4')
Becker (25')
Knoche (43'), Khedira (80'), Michel (90+5')
Dec 3, 2021 7.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Awoniyi (6'), Baumgartl (57')
Khedira (64')
Nkunku (13')
Szoboszlai (65')
May 22, 2021 2.30pm
Union Berlin
2-1
RB Leipzig
Friedrich (67'), Kruse (90+2')
Trimmel (53'), Schlotterbeck (76')
Kluivert (55')
Sabitzer (25')
Jan 20, 2021 7.30pm
RB Leipzig
1-0
Union Berlin
Forsberg (70')
Angelino (66')

Giesselmann (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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