Union Berlin

3 - 2

VfL Bochum

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 56.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 20.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.