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Bundesliga
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 5, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Mainz logo

St Pauli
0 - 3
Mainz

FT(HT: 0-2)
Burkardt (5', 62'), Sieb (16')
Sieb (20'), Jenz (79'), Kohr (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 0-3 St Pauli
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Mainz 05

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, September 28 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: St Pauli 1-1 Mainz 05

 Although the hosts have been in better form of late, they have only scored four goals in the league, and it would be surprising if they scored many on Saturday. Additionally, Mainz have been difficult to beat away from home recently, and they will likely prove stubborn to break down. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawMainz 05
54.91% (-0.175 -0.18) 22.62% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 22.47% (0.159 0.16)
Both teams to score 56.61% (0.168 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.01% (0.121 0.12)42.98% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.61% (0.11799999999999 0.12)65.39% (-0.11699999999999 -0.12)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.44% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)15.56% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.49% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)44.51% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.04% (0.21300000000001 0.21)32.96% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.46% (0.234 0.23)69.54% (-0.232 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 54.91%
    Mainz 05 22.47%
    Draw 22.62%
St PauliDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.54% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.11% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.39% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.006 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 54.91%
1-1 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 5.47% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 5.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.62%
1-2 @ 5.88% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 5.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.18% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.02% (0.022 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 22.47%

How you voted: St Pauli vs Mainz

St Pauli
40.4%
Draw
32.7%
Mainz 05
26.9%
52
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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