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Bundesliga | Gameweek 4
Sep 22, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion
Leipzig logo

St Pauli
0 - 0
RB Leipzig


Treu (29'), Saad (71')
FT

Haidara (24')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Augsburg 3-1 St Pauli
Sunday, September 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 RB Leipzig
Thursday, September 19 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: St Pauli 0-2 RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig have proven difficult to beat in the league, and it would be surprising if St Pauli managed to pose a significant challenge to the visitors given their poor showings so far this term. Additionally, the hosts have struggled to create many opportunities in front of goal, and they could fail to score once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 47.22%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (6.45%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawRB Leipzig
47.22% (0.264 0.26) 22.69% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 30.09% (-0.26 -0.26)
Both teams to score 63.88% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (-0.124 -0.12)36.7% (0.124 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.14% (-0.137 -0.14)58.86% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.03% (0.049999999999997 0.05)15.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.74% (0.088999999999999 0.09)45.25% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.221 -0.22)23.98% (0.218 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.313 -0.31)58.22% (0.312 0.31)
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 47.22%
    RB Leipzig 30.09%
    Draw 22.69%
St PauliDrawRB Leipzig
2-1 @ 9.2% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.02% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 6.45% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 5.63% (0.026 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.58% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.84%
4-0 @ 1.81% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 47.22%
1-1 @ 10.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 6.57% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.91% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 7.16% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.47% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.41% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.13% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.22% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 30.09%

How you voted: St Pauli vs RB Leipzig

St Pauli
9.9%
Draw
10.7%
RB Leipzig
79.3%
121
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern129303782930
2Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1282231161526
3Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen126512819923
4RB Leipzig126331914521
5Borussia DortmundDortmund126242319420
6Freiburg126241616020
7Mainz 05Mainz125432014619
8Wolfsburg125342519618
9Stuttgart124532321217
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach125251817117
11Union BerlinUnion Berlin124441011-116
12Werder Bremen124441924-516
13Augsburg124351423-915
14Hoffenheim123361724-712
15St Pauli123271015-511
16Heidenheim123181524-910
17Holstein Kiel121291331-185
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1202101033-232


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