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Bundesliga
SV Darmstadt
Bundesliga | Gameweek 26
Mar 16, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor
Bayern logo

Darmstadt
2 - 5
Bayern

Skarke (28'), Vilhelmsson (90+5')
Franjic (67')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Musiala (36', 64'), Kane (45+1'), Gnabry (74'), Tel (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between SV Darmstadt 98 and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

SV Darmstadt 98

All competitions
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 8-1 Mainz
Saturday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: SV Darmstadt 98 0-4 Bayern Munich

 Neither side can afford to drop points if they wish to boost their hopes of achieving their respective targets this season, but it will come as no surprise to many that Bayern enter Saturday's contest as firm favourites to come out on top. The Bundesliga's strongest attack, Bayern with 73 goals scored, should have few problems breaching the division's leakiest backline, Darmstadt with 60 goals conceded, en route to comfortably claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 77.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for SV Darmstadt 98 had a probability of 8.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a SV Darmstadt 98 win it was 2-1 (2.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
8.87% (0.052 0.05) 13.2% (0.011999999999999 0.01) 77.92% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.95% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
73.73% (0.116 0.12)26.27% (-0.117 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.45% (0.148 0.15)46.55% (-0.149 -0.15)
SV Darmstadt 98 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.21% (0.194 0.19)39.79% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.54% (0.179 0.18)76.46% (-0.17999999999999 -0.18)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.59% (0.012 0.01)5.41% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.82% (0.037999999999997 0.04)21.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    SV Darmstadt 98 8.87%
    Bayern Munich 77.92%
    Draw 13.2%
SV Darmstadt 98DrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 2.67% (0.011 0.01)
1-0 @ 1.98% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 1.19% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 0.91% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.87%
1-1 @ 5.78% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.89% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 2.15% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 13.2%
0-2 @ 9.16% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-3 @ 8.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 8.21% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-4 @ 6.49% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
1-4 @ 5.99% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 3.79% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.78% (0.022 0.02)
1-5 @ 3.49% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.76% (0.018 0.02)
0-6 @ 1.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-6 @ 1.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.61% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 77.92%

How you voted: Darmstadt vs Bayern

SV Darmstadt 98
12.5%
Draw
6.9%
Bayern Munich
80.6%
72
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
8-0
Darmstadt
Kane (51', 69', 88'), Sane (56', 64'), Musiala (60', 76'), Muller (71')
Tuchel (7'), de Ligt (38')
Kimmich (4')

Bader (49'), Nurnberger (69')
Gjasula (21'), Maglica (41')
> Match Report
May 6, 2017 2.30pm
Bayern
1-0
Darmstadt
Bernat (18')
Rafinha (86')

Sirigu (61')
Dec 18, 2016 2.30pm
Darmstadt
0-1
Bayern

Rosenthal (43')
Costa (71')
Alonso (75'), Hummels (75')
Feb 20, 2016 2.30pm
Bayern
3-1
Darmstadt
Muller (49', 71'), Lewandowski (84')
Rafinha (13'), Kimmich (50')
Wagner (26')
Dec 15, 2015 7.30pm
Third Round
Bayern
1-0
Darmstadt
Alonso (40')
Rafinha (9')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202
> Bundesliga Full Table


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