Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 20

Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
3 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Pavlovic (45'), Kane (70'), de Ligt (86')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Elvedi (35')
Neuhaus (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Monchengladbach, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, January 27 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Aside from their surprise defeat at home to Werder Bremen earlier this month, Bayern Munich have been almost perfect at the Allianz Arena this season and they will be regarded as favourites to come out on top in front of their own supporters this weekend. Borussia Monchengladbach are no pushovers, though, and have enjoyed recent success against the Bavarians, but Tuchel's title hopefuls should ultimately find a way to get the job done, even though they are missing a few key players through injury. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 86.68%. A draw had a probability of 8.4% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 4.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (7.83%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.32%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (1.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
86.68% ( 1.99)	8.39% ( -1.17)	4.93% ( -0.82)

Both teams to score 58.03% (

0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

83.88% (

2.79)

16.12% (

-2.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

67.66% (

4.16)

32.34% (

-4.16)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.55% (

0.66)

2.45% (

-0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

88.47% (

2.35)

11.52% (

-2.34)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.48% (

0.37)

40.51% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.88% (

0.33)

77.12% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 86.68%

Borussia Monchengladbach 4.93%

Draw 8.39%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Borussia Monchengladbach
3-0 @ 8.44% ( -0.41) 4-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 7.07% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 6.82% ( -0.82) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0.67) 5-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.47) 5-1 @ 5.25% ( 0.47) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.72) 6-0 @ 3.59% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.1) 6-1 @ 3.25% ( 0.48) 4-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.12) 5-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.23) 7-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.37) 7-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.35) 6-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.23) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 6.08% Total : 86.68%	1-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.27) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.28) Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.39%	1-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.26) Other @ 3.43% Total : 4.93%