Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 10, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
BayArena
B. Leverkusen3 - 0Bayern
The Match
Match Report
Bayer Leverkusen record a statement 3-0 victory over title rivals Bayern Munich to move five points clear at the top of the Bundesliga table.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-2 Stuttgart
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Bayern 3-1 Borussia M'bach
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 3 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 39.05%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.49%) and 0-2 (5.28%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayer Leverkusen | Draw | Bayern Munich |
37.61% ( -0.35) | 23.34% ( 0.28) | 39.05% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.03% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
