The Match
Match Report
Ciro Immobile fires Lazio to a 1-0 win over 10-man Bayern Munich in the first leg of their Champions League last-16 tie at Stadio Olimpico on Wednesday.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Lazio and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cagliari 1-3 Lazio
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, February 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 3-0 Bayern
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 10 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 45.85%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
29.58% (![]() | 24.57% (![]() | 45.85% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.23% (![]() | 45.77% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.91% (![]() | 68.08% (![]() |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.15% (![]() | 28.85% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.29% (![]() | 64.71% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.94% (![]() | 20.06% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.72% (![]() | 52.28% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Lazio 29.58%
Bayern Munich 45.85%
Draw 24.56%
Lazio | Draw | Bayern Munich |
1-0 @ 7.19% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.58% | 1-1 @ 11.55% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.79% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.56% | 0-1 @ 9.3% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.97% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.09% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.61% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.24% ( ![]() Other @ 2.9% Total : 45.85% |
How you voted: Lazio vs Bayern
Lazio
11.7%Draw
15.2%Bayern Munich
73.1%427
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2021 8pm
Round of 16
Bayern
2-1
Lazio
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-28 11:28:38
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
![Tables header RHS Tables header RHS](https://sm.imgix.net/23/25/tables-header-rhs.jpg?w=300&h=46)
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
1
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Arsenal attacker 'ready' to hand in transfer request
2
![Greenwood transfer preference revealed as 'positive' talks held Greenwood transfer preference revealed as 'positive' talks held](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Greenwood transfer preference revealed as 'positive' talks held
3
![Murray's Miami reunion, Raducanu to meet seed: Key ties from Wimbledon draw Murray's Miami reunion, Raducanu to meet seed: Key ties from Wimbledon draw](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Murray's Miami reunion, Raducanu to meet seed: Key ties from Wimbledon draw
4
![Medical passed: Chelsea 'on brink' of striker signing Medical passed: Chelsea 'on brink' of striker signing](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Medical passed: Chelsea 'on brink' of striker signing
5
![Fresh start? Arsenal midfielder 'agrees' personal terms over La Liga move Fresh start? Arsenal midfielder 'agrees' personal terms over La Liga move](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Fresh start? Arsenal midfielder 'agrees' personal terms over La Liga move
6
![Summer move? Barca-linked Williams opens up on transfer speculation Summer move? Barca-linked Williams opens up on transfer speculation](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Summer move? Barca-linked Williams opens up on transfer speculation
7
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"I'm going to continue" - Barca star confirms he is staying at Camp Nou
8
![Chelsea transfer blow: Brighton 'agree swap deal' with Maresca target Chelsea transfer blow: Brighton 'agree swap deal' with Maresca target](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Chelsea transfer blow: Brighton 'agree swap deal' with Maresca target
9
![Calcio competition: Chelsea 'suffer blow' in pursuit of £70m signing Calcio competition: Chelsea 'suffer blow' in pursuit of £70m signing](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Calcio competition: Chelsea 'suffer blow' in pursuit of £70m signing
10
![Leicester star 'keen to join' Enzo Maresca at Chelsea Leicester star 'keen to join' Enzo Maresca at Chelsea](https://sm.imgix.net/11/29/1x1.gif?w=1&h=1)
Leicester star 'keen to join' Enzo Maresca at Chelsea
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