Union Berlin

2 - 1

Dortmund

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 15.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.82%) and 0-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 2-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.