MX23RW : Friday, April 25 00:20:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Augsburg logo
Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
Werder Bremen logo
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Wolfsburg

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gerhardt (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Freiburg 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 0-1 Heidenheim
Saturday, March 29 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Union Berlin 2-1 Wolfsburg

Union will take confidence from their impressive performances against the division's best in the past weeks. Wolfsburg have also been inconsistent away from home, and the hosts' resilience should make them favourites on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 40.16%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 33.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-0 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
33.95% (1.323 1.32) 25.89% (0.625 0.63) 40.16% (-1.947 -1.95)
Both teams to score 54.26% (-1.723 -1.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-2.397 -2.4)50% (2.399 2.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-2.176 -2.18)71.98% (2.179 2.18)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.91% (-0.339 -0.34)28.08% (0.34 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.25% (-0.433 -0.43)63.75% (0.436 0.44)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.45% (-2.029 -2.03)24.55% (2.031 2.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.96% (-2.937 -2.94)59.04% (2.939 2.94)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 33.95%
    Wolfsburg 40.16%
    Draw 25.89%
Union BerlinDrawWolfsburg
1-0 @ 8.76% (0.746 0.75)
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.153 0.15)
2-0 @ 5.56% (0.425 0.43)
3-1 @ 3.31% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.35% (0.159 0.16)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.118 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 33.95%
1-1 @ 12.29% (0.35 0.35)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.647 0.65)
2-2 @ 5.48% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.126 -0.13)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 9.68% (0.369 0.37)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.266 -0.27)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.143 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.381 -0.38)
0-3 @ 3.18% (-0.266 -0.27)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.268 -0.27)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-4 @ 1.12% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 40.16%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg

Union Berlin
Draw
Wolfsburg
Union Berlin
56.8%
Draw
25.0%
Wolfsburg
18.2%
44
Head to Head
Nov 23, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Wolfsburg
1-0
Union Berlin
Baku (71')
Wimmer (15')

Vogt (45+2'), Benes (90+3')
Feb 10, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 21
Union Berlin
1-0
Wolfsburg
Doekhi (45+25')
Roussillon (85')

Kovac (45+26'), Arnold (90+1'), Pervan (90+5')
Sep 16, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Wolfsburg
2-1
Union Berlin
Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')
Gosens (28')
Mar 12, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 24
Wolfsburg
1-1
Union Berlin
Wimmer (84')
Juranovic (72' pen.)
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern30226287295872
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen301810264352964
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30157858421652
4RB Leipzig301310748381049
5Freiburg30146104347-448
6Mainz 05Mainz30138948361247
7Borussia DortmundDortmund301361157471045
8Werder Bremen30136114854-645
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30135124846244
10Augsburg30111093340-743
11Stuttgart30118115650641
12Wolfsburg30109115347639
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3098133044-1435
14St Pauli3086162636-1030
15Hoffenheim3079143855-1730
16Heidenheim3064203260-2822
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3055202962-3320
18Holstein Kiel3047194171-3019


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!