Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 24

Mar 12, 2023 at 6.30pm UK

Wolfsburg
1 - 1
Union Berlin

Wimmer (84')
Bornauw (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Juranovic (72' pen.)
Khedira (6'), Thorsby (14'), Leite (74'), Behrens (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Frankfurt
Sunday, March 5 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 3-3 Union SG
Thursday, March 9 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 1-0 Union Berlin

Neither side have enjoyed particularly inspiring runs of form recently, but Wolfsburg's home advantage, which has had a particularly noticeable effect on Union over the years, gives them the slight edge in what could well be a tight contest on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 30.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
44.3% ( -0.32)	25.35% ( -0.02)	30.35% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 54.71% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.19% (

0.21)

48.8% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.09% (

0.19)

70.9% (

-0.2)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.99% (

-0.06)

22% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.68% (

-0.09)

55.32% (

0.08)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.14% (

0.34)

29.85% (

-0.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.06% (

0.41)

65.94% (

-0.41)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 44.3%

Union Berlin 30.35%

Draw 25.35%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.53% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 44.3%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 30.35%