Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Sep 16, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

VOLKSWAGEN ARENA

Wolfsburg
2 - 1
Union Berlin

Wind (12'), Maehle (30')
Svanberg (78')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Gosens (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Wolfsburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Wolfsburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Union Berlin

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-3 RB Leipzig
Sunday, September 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Wolfsburg 2-2 Union Berlin

Union took four points off Wolfsburg last season and knocked them out of the DFB-Pokal, but there is a different look about both sides this season, and it could be a close encounter. Wolfsburg will hope to have Wimmer and Wind available, as they are two players that could play a pivotal role in deciding the outcome of this game, otherwise Union may have the slight edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.23%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
34.99% ( -0.14)	26.95% ( 0.18)	38.05% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 50.99% (

-0.59)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.76% (

-0.74)

54.24% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.36% (

-0.63)

75.64% (

0.62)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.49% (

-0.45)

29.5% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.48% (

-0.55)

65.52% (

0.55)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.33% (

-0.38)

27.67% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.78% (

-0.49)

63.21% (

0.48)

Score Analysis

Wolfsburg 34.99%

Union Berlin 38.05%

Draw 26.95%

Wolfsburg	Draw	Union Berlin
1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.16) 2-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.47% Total : 34.99%	1-1 @ 12.8% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.95%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.05%