Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 18.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 1-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
60.56% (![]() | 20.81% (![]() | 18.62% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.91% (![]() | 40.09% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.54% (![]() | 62.45% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.17% (![]() | 12.83% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.83% (![]() | 39.17% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.93% (![]() | 35.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.18% (![]() | 71.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.94% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.49% 1-0 @ 9.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.49% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.49% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() Other @ 3.58% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 9.68% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% 0-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.81% | 1-2 @ 5.07% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.71% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.82% 1-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 2.78% Total : 18.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 25 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 74 | 23 | 51 | 61 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 55 | 30 | 25 | 53 |
3 | Mainz 05Mainz | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 44 |
4 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Freiburg | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 41 |
6 | RB Leipzig | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 39 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 38 |
8 | Stuttgart | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 37 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 37 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 45 | 39 | 6 | 35 |
11 | Augsburg | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 35 |
12 | Werder Bremen | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 33 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 27 |
14 | Hoffenheim | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 32 | 47 | -15 | 26 |
15 | St Pauli | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 22 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 18 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 37 | 61 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Heidenheim | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 51 | -23 | 16 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |