Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 14

Dec 9, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
2 - 0
Augsburg

Stark (39'), Ducksch (65')
Zetterer (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Demirovic (27'), Thorup (71'), Dorsch (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-0 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 2 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 3 at 6.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-1 Augsburg

Werder Bremen will be desperate to avoid another defeat, otherwise they will be left vulnerable to falling inside the bottom three positions after enduring a poor run of form. Augsburg, on the other hand, require a win to guarantee remaining in the top half of the table. Thorup's side have drawn 1-1 in their last two away trips, and we can envisage them sharing the spoils once again. This result would likely suit both teams, as it would stop the rot for the host while extending the visitors' unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.95% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.81%) and 2-0 (4.96%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Augsburg
39.34% ( -0.35)	22.71% ( -0.5)	37.95% ( 0.85)

Both teams to score 66.51% (

2.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.65% (

2.62)

34.35% (

-2.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.74% (

2.89)

56.26% (

-2.89)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.86% (

0.96)

18.14% (

-0.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9% (

1.62)

49.1% (

-1.62)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.24% (

1.55)

18.76% (

-1.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.85% (

2.53)

50.15% (

-2.53)

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 39.34%

Augsburg 37.95%

Draw 22.71%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.17) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.61) 2-0 @ 4.96% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.95% ( 0.22) 3-0 @ 2.82% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.94% Total : 39.34%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.4% ( -0.48) 3-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.44% Total : 22.71%	1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.49) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.9% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.62% ( 0.19) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.07) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.73% Total : 37.95%