Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 11

Nov 11, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

WWK Arena

Augsburg
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (53')
Uduokhai (44')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Weghorst (23')
Promel (56'), Akpoguma (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Augsburg and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: FC Koln 1-1 Augsburg
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Augsburg 1-2 Hoffenheim

Augsburg were extremely fortunate to gain a point away to Koln - who sit bottom of the table ahead of this weekend's action - last time out, but they will not be able to get away with conceding as many chances against Hoffenheim. The visitors can score goals relatively freely with Kramaric and Weghorst in attack, and we expect them to continue their recent trend by following up a defeat with a victory as they look to gain ground on the Champions League places. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 40.5%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 36.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.78%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
Augsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
40.5% ( -0.07)	23.43% ( -0.09)	36.06% ( 0.16)

Both teams to score 63.49% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.82% (

0.47)

38.18% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.54% (

0.5)

60.45% (

-0.5)

Augsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.74% (

0.17)

19.26% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.02% (

0.27)

50.98% (

-0.27)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.63% (

0.3)

21.36% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.66% (

0.46)

54.33% (

-0.46)

Score Analysis

Augsburg 40.5%

Hoffenheim 36.06%

Draw 23.42%

Augsburg	Draw	Hoffenheim
2-1 @ 8.62% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 40.5%	1-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.42%	1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.75% Total : 36.06%