Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 2, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Mercedes-Benz-Arena

Stuttgart
2 - 0
Werder Bremen

Undav (17'), Guirassy (75' pen.)
Stenzel (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stuttgart

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Stuttgart
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-3 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 25 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stuttgart 2-1 Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen were humbled by Leverkusen's dominance during their defeat last weekend, but things do not get much easier for them here with a trip to in-form Stuttgart. The hosts have already won two more matches than in each of the last two seasons. We can envisage them earning a 10th victory in 13 matches by dispatching Werder Bremen on Saturday, but it may be closer than expected. Both sides are better offensively than defensively, so it should be an entertaining clash at MHPArena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 59.71%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.69%) and 1-0 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
Stuttgart	Draw	Werder Bremen
59.71% ( -0.02)	20.56% ( 0)	19.73% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.88% (

0.03)

37.12% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.69% (

0.03)

59.31% (

-0.02)

Stuttgart Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.86% (

12.14% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.26%

37.74% (

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.81% (

0.04)

32.19% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.33% (

0.04)

68.68% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Stuttgart 59.71%

Werder Bremen 19.73%

Draw 20.56%

Stuttgart	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 6.92% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.92% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.65% 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.54% 5-0 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 4.16% Total : 59.71%	1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.56%	1-2 @ 5.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.43% 0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 19.73%