Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
17.72% ( 0.13) | 20.29% ( -0.06) | 61.98% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 56.68% ( 0.47) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.85% ( 0.49) | 39.14% ( -0.5) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.53% ( 0.52) | 61.47% ( -0.52) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% ( 0.44) | 35.48% ( -0.45) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% ( 0.46) | 72.25% ( -0.46) |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% ( 0.13) | 12.13% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.27% ( 0.27) | 37.72% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 2.31% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.73% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 6.73% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 3.68% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |