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Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 27
Jan 30, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Millwall

Moore (71')
Bennett (69'), Vaulks (76'), Morrison (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Flint (9' og.)

Preview: Cardiff City vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cardiff City will be out to build on a hard-earned point in Mick McCarthy's first game in charge when they play host to Millwall on Saturday afternoon.

The sides enter this game at the Cardiff City Stadium level on 30 points apiece and are closer to the relegation zone than the playoff places.


Match preview

Cardiff City's Harry Wilson celebrates scoring against Bournemouth in the Championship on October 21, 2020© Reuters

A 2-2 draw with Barnsley may not seem like much to celebrate for Cardiff on the face of it, but the manner of the point made it a positive way for McCarthy to begin his tenure.

The Bluebirds trailed by a couple of goals at Oakwell with 52 minutes played, but Sheyi Ojo and Kieffer Moore hit back to end City's six-game losing streak in all competitions.

Five of those losses had come in a devastating run in the Championship that effectively cost last term's fifth-placed finishers any hope of challenging for the top six.

McCarthy has yet to rule out a playoff charge, but for that to happen Cardiff will need to pick up just a second win in six home league outings when Millwall visit this weekend.

The Lions are winless in two, but a 0-0 draw with high-flying Watford can be considered a good result for Gary Rowett's charges.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Millwall have won three of their last five away matches in all competitions, keeping a clean sheet in each of those victories.

However, the last six league encounters between Cardiff and Millwall - each in the Championship - have ended as a draw. Going further back, 13 of the last 18 have finished level.

That result would suit neither team on Saturday, with the gap on the playoffs now standing at 12 points with 21 games of the regular season to play.

McCarthy would love to mark his first home outing as City boss with a victory, and the former Republic of Ireland manager has a good record against Millwall, winning five out of his last six home meetings with them.

The Lions are without a win away to Cardiff in the league since February 2005, meanwhile, and have won just five of their last 36 away league matches in Wales.

Cardiff City Championship form: LLLLLD
Cardiff City form (all competitions): LLLLLD

Millwall Championship form: DLDLWD
Millwall form (all competitions): WDLWLD


Team News

Millwall's Tom Bradshaw celebrates scoring against Bristol City in the Championship on December 15, 2020© Reuters

McCarthy made some big selections calls against Barnsley by leaving out Harry Wilson and captain Sean Morrison.

Both players will be hoping to return to the starting lineup on Saturday, while Joe Bennett is another in contention to feature from the beginning.

Fitness depending, Moore is a nailed-on starter for City after taking his tally to nine goals for the season in midweek.

As for the visitors, Connor Mahoney has returned to training but is unlikely to play any part in this game.

Rowett otherwise has near enough a fully-fit squad to choose from, but too many changes are unlikely for this trip to South Wales.

Striker Matt Smith has been directly involved in five goals in six league starts against Cardiff, so he will be playing some part in this contest.

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Smithies; Ng, Morrison, Nelson, Bennett; Ralls, Vaulks; Ojo, Wilson, Murphy; Moore

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Leonard, Hutchinson, Cooper; McNamara, Woods, Thompson, Kieftenbeld, Malone; Wallace, Zohore


SM words green background

We say: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

Cardiff put an end to their losing run last time out and will now be looking to get some victories on the board. Millwall, too, could do with returning to winning ways if they are to move up the division.

Recent results in this fixture suggest that both teams may end up disappointed, though, with everything pointing towards a draw.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
40.4%
Draw
47.4%
Millwall
12.3%
57
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Cardiff City manager Neil Harris pictured in October 2020
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