AC Milan2 - 1Red Star
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, December 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A
for
Wednesday, November 27 at 5.45pm in Champions League
We said: AC Milan 2-0 Red Star Belgrade
After some teething troubles following Paulo Fonseca's appointment - and some fans are still not convinced - Milan have kept a clean sheet in five of their first seven home Serie A games for the first time since 2002. Red Star's record on the road around Europe is abysmal, and they could experience the familiar taste of Champions League defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 58.11%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 21.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.98%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for AC Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AC Milan.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
58.11% ( 0.04) | 20.62% ( 0.09) | 21.27% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 61.96% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.85% ( -0.65) | 35.15% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.84% ( -0.73) | 57.15% ( 0.73) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.02% ( -0.19) | 11.97% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 62.61% ( -0.42) | 37.38% ( 0.41) |
| Red Star Belgrade Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% ( -0.5) | 29.61% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.36% ( -0.61) | 65.64% ( 0.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| AC Milan | Draw | Red Star Belgrade |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.14)1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.55% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.64% Total : 58.11% | 1-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.3% Total : 20.62% | 1-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 21.27% |
