Serie A | Gameweek 12
Nov 9, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Cagliari3 - 3AC Milan
We said: Cagliari 0-2 AC Milan
Milan have scored a league-high 65% of their goals in the first half this season, while only two teams have found the net less than Cagliari before the break. So, expect the Rossoneri to take a lead that they will not relinquish, as they are improving at the back and their hosts are lightweight up front. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 31.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.1%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
31.79% ( -0.02) | 25.14% ( -0.01) | 43.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.07% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0.01) | 47.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( 0.01) | 69.56% ( -0.01) |
| Cagliari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.84% ( -0.01) | 28.15% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.16% ( -0.01) | 63.84% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.04% ( 0.02) | 21.96% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.75% ( 0.03) | 55.25% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Cagliari 31.79%
AC Milan 43.06%
Draw 25.13%
| Cagliari | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 7.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.97% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.18% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.41% 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 31.79% | 1-1 @ 11.87% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.71% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 9.37% 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.1% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.88% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 43.06% |
How you voted: Cagliari vs AC Milan
Cagliari
8.1%Draw
11.7%AC Milan
80.2%111
