MX23RW : Sunday, October 13 14:20:57| >> :120:59682:59682:
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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Red Star Belgrade

Inter Milan
4 - 0
Red Star

Calhanoglu (11'), Arnautovic (59'), Martinez (71'), Taremi (81' pen.)
Mkhitaryan (15'), de Vrij (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Elsnik (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-3 Inter Milan
Saturday, September 28 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Red Star 1-2 Benfica
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League

We said: Inter Milan 3-1 Red Star Belgrade

With a record of nine wins from their last 13 Champions League home matches, Inter start strong favourites to take maximum points in Milan. Buoyed by a win at the weekend, the Nerazzurri should be back to somewhere near their best, ready to take advantage of Red Star's away-day woes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 55.78%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 22.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
55.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 21.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 22.41% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Both teams to score 59.34% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)39.34% (0.031000000000006 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-0.029999999999994 -0.03)61.68% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)14.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)41.58% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)30.98% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (-0.058 -0.06)67.29% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 55.78%
    Red Star Belgrade 22.41%
    Draw 21.8%
Inter MilanDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.82% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.38% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.49% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.77% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 3.16% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.7% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.78%
1-1 @ 10%
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.35% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 21.8%
1-2 @ 5.86% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.09% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 2.98% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 22.41%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Red Star

Inter Milan
88.9%
Draw
6.0%
Red Star Belgrade
5.0%
199
rhs 2.0
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