Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 44.69%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
44.69% ( 0.95) | 24.74% ( 0.07) | 30.57% ( -1.02) |
Both teams to score 56.85% ( -0.75) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.94% ( -0.75) | 46.06% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -0.72) | 68.36% ( 0.72) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.11) | 20.68% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.72% ( 0.17) | 53.28% ( -0.17) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.67% ( -1.04) | 28.33% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.94% ( -1.33) | 64.05% ( 1.33) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Juventus |
1-0 @ 9.23% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 44.69% | 1-1 @ 11.64% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.74% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.17) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.72% Total : 30.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
8 | AC Milan | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 23 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 16 | 5 | 0 | 11 | 21 | 39 | -18 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |