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Champions League
Atletico Madrid logo
Champions League | League Stage
Dec 11, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Slovan Bratislava

Atletico
3 - 1
Slovan Bratislava

Alvarez (16'), Griezmann (42', 57')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Strelec (51' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Atletico Madrid and Slovan Bratislava, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 4-3 Sevilla
Sunday, December 8 at 8pm in La Liga

Slovan Bratislava

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Zilina 2-1 Slovan Bratislava
Saturday, December 7 at 5pm in Slovak First Football League

We said: Atletico Madrid 3-0 Slovan Bratislava

 Atletico will be riding a crest of a wave after pulling off a superb comeback against Sevilla to make it nine straight wins in all competitions, and after showcasing their firepower in recent outings, we think that the hosts will prove far too strong for a Slovan side that have struggled defensively in the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 62.3%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Slovan Bratislava had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.49%), while for a Slovan Bratislava win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawSlovan Bratislava
62.3% (-1.892 -1.89) 20.34% (0.538 0.54) 17.36% (1.357 1.36)
Both teams to score 55.73% (1.146 1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.96% (0.058 0.06)40.04% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.6% (0.059999999999995 0.06)62.4% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.68% (-0.506 -0.51)12.32% (0.508 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.89% (-1.075 -1.08)38.11% (1.076 1.08)
Slovan Bratislava Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.56% (1.666 1.67)36.44% (-1.664 -1.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.77% (1.643 1.64)73.23% (-1.641 -1.64)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 62.3%
    Slovan Bratislava 17.36%
    Draw 20.34%
Atletico MadridDrawSlovan Bratislava
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.84% (-0.418 -0.42)
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-1 @ 6.94% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.442 -0.44)
4-1 @ 3.63% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 3.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.5% (0.098 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.83% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.089 -0.09)
5-0 @ 1.51% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 62.3%
1-1 @ 9.49% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.236 0.24)
0-0 @ 4.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.34%
1-2 @ 4.79% (0.315 0.32)
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.189 0.19)
0-2 @ 2.29% (0.193 0.19)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.15 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.173 0.17)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 17.36%

How you voted: Atletico vs Slovan Bratislava

Atletico Madrid
89.2%
Draw
8.3%
Slovan Bratislava
2.5%
157
rhs 2.0
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